Monday, 22 September 2014

The next big wealth generating opportunity in India today

          We all know India is called the land of opportunities. There are opportunities in the form of setting up business, higher education, investments, etc. for the people in India as well as people outside India. We have lot of MNCs setup in India, FDI in certain sectors, FIIs investing in stock markets. But when we specifically look at investments opportunities in India, there are varieties of investment avenues for various kinds of investors across different asset classes whether it is Equity, Debt, Commodity, Real Estate, etc.

Out of these different asset classes, historically Equity has performed extremely well. In the last 23 years i.e. since 1981, the 10 years moving average return of Sensex has been 16.04% p.a., whereas Gold has given 9.47%, PPF has been 8.31%, Residential Real Estate (returns calculated from Ready Reckoner – Colaba region) has given 8.73% (as per our proprietary research). Mainly the stock market is driven through the Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs); but still lots of retail investors are hesitant and afraid of investing in equity market. This is due to the stock market volatility and human behavior that cannot see negative returns.  

Today we have different kinds of investment instruments for taking equity exposure other than investing directly in equity shares; like Equity Mutual Funds, ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds), ULIPs (Unit Linked Insurance Plans), NPS (National Pension System), etc. for retail investors. But investors still rely on traditional products like Fixed Deposits, Postal Schemes, insurance policies (their so called investment), real estate, and gold etc. These instruments barely earn real returns i.e. their returns are slightly above inflation. Though equity does not fetch you real returns year over year, but over a longer period, say above 7 – 8 years, it does earn you significantly higher real returns comparatively.

As it is said, high returns necessarily entail high risk; and low risk necessarily entails low returns, which is called the risk – reward ratio. Equity investment do fetch you high returns, but it also carries high risk. Also investing in direct equity requires bit of research exercise to be done. It is not a magic box, where you put your money and it multiplies over a period. But, you can take exposure to equity by investing in equity-diversified mutual funds systematically via SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans) route, which reduces the timing risk.

Everyone is optimistic with the Modi-fied government, which can bring the change in the industry by introducing new regulations for different regulatory bodies as well as different sectors, for bringing in transparency and protecting investor’s interest, if these aspirations are fulfilled, investment in the equity sector would increase by leaps and bounds as I firmly believe that. Equity was and will be one of the most wealth generating investment tool and; we have a live example of India’s Warrant Buffet - Mr. Rakesh Jhunjunwala. It is also the next big wealth generating opportunity for those have never invested in equities. Though it’s said, “Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results”; but it is also said, “history repeats itself”, and equity has been delivering similar returns what it has given in the past!